Michigan
W-L: (35-22) PR = 94.7554Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 0 206 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 17- 0 207 H Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 6- 2 207 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1- 5 208 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4- 2 213 A Houston Christian SL ( 2-13, 87.9) 6- 1 213 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 214 A Incarnate Word SL ( 4-10, 90.2) 20- 2 214 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 9-10 215 H Lafayette PAT ( 0- 4, 84.3) 9- 0 220 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 5- 3 220 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 9- 8 221 H Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 3- 1 221 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 222 A Southern Utah WAC (22-27, 90.7) 5- 3 227 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2- 6 228 H Bucknell PAT ( 0- 6, 88.6) 8- 0 301 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 2 301 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 301 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 2 301 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 303 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 304 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 8- 0 305 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 7- 1 305 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3- 5 306 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 7- 1 313 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 5 314 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 4- 8 314 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 5 320 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 7- 9 321 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 4- 7 322 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 7-10 327 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 9- 5 328 A Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 6- 5 329 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 13- 5 401 H Oakland HL ( 1- 5, 91.9) 6- 5 403 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 0- 4 404 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 9- 5 405 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 11- 9 410 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 10- 8 411 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 11- 1 412 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 2-13 414 A Central Michigan MA ( 1- 3, 89.8) 8- 1 418 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 3- 6 419 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 12-14 421 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 3- 0 424 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 4- 8 425 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 9- 8 426 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2-10 501 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 502 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 9- 1 503 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 3- 1 507 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 4 515 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 0- 1 516 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 12-10 516 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 6- 0 517 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A South Florida 4- 0 4 1 + 3.43
206 A Bethune-Cookman 17- 0 17 7 +++ 6.85
207 H Illinois State 6- 2 4 4 0.28
207 A Florida 1- 5 -4 -4 -0.32
208 H Kansas 4- 2 2 0 1.69
213 A Houston Christian 6- 1 5 6 -1.07
213 H Pittsburgh 3- 1 2 5 - -2.78
214 A Incarnate Word 20- 2 18 4 +++ 10.21
214 A Houston 9-10 -1 3 - -3.90
215 H Lafayette 9- 0 9 11 - -2.18
220 H New Mexico State 5- 3 2 4 -1.58
220 A Arizona State 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.44
221 H Southern Utah 3- 1 2 5 - -2.79
221 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.56
222 A Southern Utah 5- 3 2 3 -1.30
227 A Virginia 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.52
228 H Bucknell 8- 0 8 7 1.10
301 H Villanova 9- 2 7 8 -0.55
301 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 0 -0.52
301 H Villanova 9- 2 7 8 -0.55
301 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 0 -0.52
303 A Liberty 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.35
304 A James Madison 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.72
305 H Boston College 7- 1 6 5 0.91
305 A Virginia Tech 3- 5 -2 -3 1.01
306 H Bryant 7- 1 6 9 - -2.69
313 A Nebraska 2- 5 -3 -5 1.67
314 A Nebraska 4- 8 -4 -5 0.67
314 A Nebraska 2- 5 -3 -5 1.67
320 H Washington 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.75
321 H Washington 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.75
322 H Washington 7-10 -3 -1 -1.75
327 A Maryland 9- 5 4 4 0.24
328 A Detroit Mercy 6- 5 1 8 --- -6.79
329 H Purdue 13- 5 8 1 +++ 6.95
401 H Oakland 6- 5 1 4 - -2.58
403 A Northwestern 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.59
404 A Northwestern 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.41
405 A Northwestern 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.41
410 H Ohio State 10- 8 2 2 0.35
411 H Ohio State 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.35
412 H Ohio State 2-13 -11 2 --- -12.65
414 A Central Michigan 8- 1 7 4 + 2.79
418 A Wisconsin 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.19
419 A Wisconsin 12-14 -2 0 - -2.19
421 H Toledo 3- 0 3 6 - -2.64
424 H Indiana 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.26
425 H Indiana 9- 8 1 -1 1.74
426 A Delaware 2-10 -8 3 --- -10.57
501 A Michigan State 6- 1 5 3 1.57
502 A Michigan State 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.57
503 A Michigan State 3- 1 2 3 -1.43
507 A Nebraska 2- 4 -2 -5 + 2.67
516 H Kansas 12-10 2 0 1.69
516 H Binghamton 6- 0 6 7 -1.17
517 H Oklahoma 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.60
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Detroit Mercy 6- 5 1 8 --- -6.79 412 H Ohio State 2-13 -11 2 --- -12.65 426 A Delaware 2-10 -8 3 --- -10.57 221 A Arizona State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.56 213 H Pittsburgh 3- 1 2 5 - -2.78 214 A Houston 9-10 -1 3 - -3.90 215 H Lafayette 9- 0 9 11 - -2.18 221 H Southern Utah 3- 1 2 5 - -2.79 227 A Virginia 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.52 306 H Bryant 7- 1 6 9 - -2.69 401 H Oakland 6- 5 1 4 - -2.58 403 A Northwestern 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.59 418 A Wisconsin 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.19 419 A Wisconsin 12-14 -2 0 - -2.19 421 H Toledo 3- 0 3 6 - -2.64 424 H Indiana 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.26 517 H Oklahoma 1- 8 -7 -4 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Bethune-Cookman 17- 0 17 7 +++ 6.85 214 A Incarnate Word 20- 2 18 4 +++ 10.21 303 A Liberty 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.35 304 A James Madison 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.72 329 H Purdue 13- 5 8 1 +++ 6.95 411 H Ohio State 11- 1 10 2 +++ 8.35 404 A Northwestern 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.41 502 A Michigan State 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.57 206 A South Florida 4- 0 4 1 + 3.43 220 A Arizona State 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.44 405 A Northwestern 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.41 414 A Central Michigan 8- 1 7 4 + 2.79 507 A Nebraska 2- 4 -2 -5 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 4- 0 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.44 12.08
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 17- 0 -13.04 6.33 0.74 0.44 6.26
3 H Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 6- 2 -8.12 11.25 -0.74 0.44 9.29
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1- 5 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.44 -0.32
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4- 2 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.44 12.31
3 A Houston Christ ( 2-13, 87.9) 6- 1 -11.96 7.41 0.74 0.44 7.21
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.44 8.35
3 A Incarnate Word ( 4-10, 90.2) 20- 2 -9.68 9.69 0.74 0.44 9.23
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 9-10 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.44 -1.78
3 H Lafayette ( 0- 4, 84.3) 9- 0 -15.59 3.78 -0.74 0.44 2.69
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 5- 3 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.44 9.41
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 9- 8 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 14.73
3 H Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 3- 1 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.44 8.35
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.44 -0.60
3 A Southern Utah (22-27, 90.7) 5- 3 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.44 9.66
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 2- 6 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.44 -1.03
3 H Bucknell ( 0- 6, 88.6) 8- 0 -11.31 8.06 -0.74 0.44 6.47
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 2 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.44 5.91
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.44 -1.03
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 2 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.44 5.91
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.44 -1.03
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 8- 0 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.44 11.12
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 8- 0 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.44 11.44
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 7- 1 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.44 8.08
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3- 5 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.44 -0.47
3 H Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 7- 1 -13.09 6.28 -0.74 0.44 4.89
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 5 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.44 -0.10
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 4- 8 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.44 -0.10
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 5 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.44 -0.10
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 7- 9 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.44 -0.86
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 4- 7 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.44 -0.86
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 7-10 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.44 -0.86
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 9- 5 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.44 9.26
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 6- 5 -13.68 5.69 0.74 0.44 5.69
3 H Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 13- 5 -5.45 13.92 -0.74 0.44 11.65
3 H Oakland ( 1- 5, 91.9) 6- 5 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.44 9.41
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 0- 4 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.44 -0.83
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 9- 5 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.44 13.83
3 A Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 11- 9 -4.47 14.90 0.74 0.44 13.83
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 10- 8 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.44 11.12
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 11- 1 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.44 11.12
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 2-13 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.44 -1.50
3 A Central Michig ( 1- 3, 89.8) 8- 1 -10.10 9.27 0.74 0.44 8.86
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 3- 6 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.44 -1.18
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 12-14 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.44 -1.18
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 3- 0 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.44 7.59
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 4- 8 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.44 -0.97
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 9- 8 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.44 13.23
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2-10 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.44 -1.70
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.44 9.55
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 9- 1 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.44 9.55
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 3- 1 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.44 9.55
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 4 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.44 -0.10
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 0- 1 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.44 -0.88
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 12-10 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.44 12.31
3 H Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 6- 0 -11.57 7.80 -0.74 0.44 6.24
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 8 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.44 -0.16
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308.51
|
winning pts = 326.1939 losing points = -17.6794
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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